SRF worked with the Metropolitan Council to conduct the technical analysis for the 2030 Transit Master Plan. Our efforts resulted in a comprehensive region-wide forecasting, financial, and performance evaluation of 29 corridors.
The goal of the travel demand modeling and evaluation was to efficiently develop comparisons for a large number of commuter rail, LRT and BRT corridors go beyond the systems identified in the adopted 2020 Plan. Active studies and proposals encompassed several additional corridors using the full range of possible modes and a series of either new or preserved, underused, or previously unconsidered segments of the transportation infrastructure. These included freight railroad lines, trails, highway shoulders and medians, and undeveloped land.
Our work included:
- Collecting necessary data for calibrating and updating the regional model with updated transit networks.
- Identifying service plans and coding these service plans into the regional model.
- Identifying break points for ridership and costs (both operating and capital) as an evaluation tool to identify which corridors are feasible.
- Preparing 2030 ridership forecasts for 29 corridors and comparing forecasts to break points.
- Developing cost estimates for the modeled transit service (capital and operating) and comparing these costs against the break points to determine corridor feasibility.
- Evaluating corridors with respect to ridership and cost and making recommendations for further study.
- Analyzing why certain corridors failed to meet thresholds for LRT/BRT or commuter rail.
- Our modeling efforts followed standard practices and procedures that were consistent with Metropolitan Council and Federal Transit Administration (FTA) requirements.